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Region 12 playoff probabilities
Region 12 seeding probabilities
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Rankings
#12 of 109 in Division 3
#4 of 27 in Region 12
Strength of schedule #47 in D3 (based on all regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D3 (+178 WP+)
Made Region 12 playoffs as #1 seed
Schedule and results
08/23 (week 1) W 28-7 H #86 Bellbrook (12-2) D3 R12, pick: L by 4 (43%), perf. rating 173
08/30 (week 2) W 41-0 H #409 Fairborn (3-7) D2 R8, pick: W by 34 (96%), perf. rating 154
09/06 (week 3) W 72-7 A #583 Greenville (0-10) D3 R12, pick: W by 47 (99%), perf. rating 128
09/13 (week 4) W 35-10 H #282 Piqua (4-6) D2 R8, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 144
09/20 (week 5) W 25-23 A #182 Troy (6-5) D2 R8, pick: W by 19 (88%), perf. rating 131
09/26 (week 6) W 25-7 H #184 Butler (9-3) D2 R8, pick: W by 12 (78%), perf. rating 150
10/04 (week 7) W 42-6 A #270 Sidney (5-6) D2 R8, pick: W by 32 (98%), perf. rating 166
10/11 (week 8) W 63-6 A #536 West Carrollton (1-9) D2 R8, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 138
10/18 (week 9) W 51-0 H #368 Stebbins (4-6) D2 R8, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 160
10/25 (week 10) W 35-21 A #126 Xenia (10-2) D2 R8, pick: W by 7 (68%), perf. rating 157
OHSAA regional playoffs
11/01 (week 11) W 49-7 H #317 Talawanda (3-8) D3 R12, pick: W by 36 (99%), perf. rating 166
11/08 (week 12) L 16-14 H #99 St Marys Memorial (10-3) D3 R12, pick: W by 11 (77%), perf. rating 136
Weekly summary info
Week 16 (11-1, 147.9, #72, D3 #12)
Week 15 (11-1, 148.0, #72, D3 #12)
Week 14 (11-1, 148.3, #72, D3 #11)
Week 13 (11-1, 148.3, #70, D3 #13)
Week 12 (11-1, 148.8, #66, D3 #11)
Week 11 (11-0, 151.1, #56, D3 #11)
Week 10 (10-0, 150.0, #58, D3 #11)
Week 9 (9-0, 148.6, #67, D3 #12), appears locked in and home twice, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 8 (8-0, 147.4, #71, D3 #13), appears locked in and home twice, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 7 (7-0, 149.3, #66, D3 #10), appears locked in and home twice, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 6 (6-0, 148.3, #69, D3 #13), appears locked in and home, likely twice, proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 147.2, #74, D3 #13), appears locked in and likely home, 97% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 4 (4-0, 152.2, #57, D3 #9), appears locked in and likely home, 94% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 3 (3-0, 155.2, #45, D3 #9), appears locked in and likely home, 97% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 2 (2-0, 154.8, #47, D3 #9), appears locked in and likely home, 98% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 10-0
Week 1 (1-0, 146.9, #68, D3 #10), likely in, 98% home, 88% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 135.0, #132, D3 #26), 98% (likely in at 5-5 or better), 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 57% twice (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Last season 133.6